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Historical Moves, IV Crush & Straddle P&L

Earnings & Events

Eight years of earnings moves per ticker. Expected vs realised, pre-event IV ramp, post-event IV crush curve, straddle P&L history and seasonality patterns.

8 min read Updated Pro tier8 Years HistoryIV Crush AnalysisSeasonality

No account needed to look at it on AAPL. Live market data on every plan, and you can cancel any time.

The screen

What the module
actually shows.

A real capture, not a mockup. Click it to enlarge, then open the same screen live on AAPL.

Earnings & Events, a module of the ApexVol Terminal.

ApexVol Terminal

Options analytics, live.

Chains, IV rank, expected move and dealer positioning for 5,500+ US stocks and ETFs.

Start 7-day free trial Open the Terminal

Free on AAPL, no account. Trial: no charge if you cancel before it ends.

On this page
  1. Every panel
  2. On the desk
  3. Ticker to decision
  4. When to reach for it
  5. Questions

What is Earnings & Events?

Earnings & Events Earnings & Events analyses historical earnings moves, IV crush patterns, seasonal tendencies and post-earnings drift to help traders price event risk and identify straddle edge.

ApexVol Terminal

Options analytics, live.

Chains, IV rank, expected move and dealer positioning for 5,500+ US stocks and ETFs.

  • Live chains and Greeks
  • IV rank and percentile
  • Expected move and GEX
  • Screener and strategy P&L
Start 7-day free trial Open the Terminal

Free on AAPL, no account. Trial: no charge if you cancel before it ends.

Inside the module

Every panel,
and its job.

What the screen opens with, part by part.

Historical Moves

8 years of earnings moves with beat/miss categorisation

Expected vs Actual

How accurately does the market price earnings moves

IV Crush Curve

Modelled per-ticker post-earnings IV collapse

Seasonality

Quarterly and monthly move patterns

Why it matters

What this buys you
on the desk.

How traders read Earnings & Events when they are looking for an edge worth taking.

Price Earnings Straddles Accurately

Compare the implied move (straddle cost) to the average actual move over 8 years. If the market implies 5% but the stock historically moves 3%, the straddle is overpriced — sell it.

Predict IV Crush Magnitude

The IV crush curve is modelled per ticker. Know how much IV typically drops after earnings so you can size your vega exposure accordingly.

Exploit Seasonal Patterns

Some stocks consistently move more in Q4 earnings than Q2. The seasonality heatmap reveals these patterns for quarterly timing of event trades.

How it works

From a ticker
to a decision.

The order the screen expects you to work in.

  1. Select ticker

    Enter any US stock or ETF

  2. Review data

    Analyse the key metrics and charts

  3. Identify signal

    Find the actionable insight

  4. Execute

    Use the signal to inform your trade

Use cases

When you would
reach for it.

Straddle Selling
When the implied move consistently exceeds the actual move, sell the earnings straddle for a statistical edge.
Post-Earnings Drift
Use drift analysis to hold directional positions through earnings when historical data shows continuation.

Questions

What people ask
about this screen.

How far back does the data go?

Up to 8 years of quarterly earnings data per ticker, including EPS estimates, actual results, stock moves, IV levels before and after, and straddle P&L.

What is post-earnings drift?

The tendency for stocks to continue moving in the same direction for days or weeks after an earnings surprise. The drift tab quantifies this with win rates and average drift magnitude.

You have read the screen.
Now run it.

Earnings & Events is one pane of the Terminal, and it opens on AAPL without an account. Every plan points the same module at the other 5,500 tickers.

Real market data, not a sandbox. Open Earnings & Events on AAPL.