ApexVol
Volatility

HV Term Structure

HV across different measurement windows from short to long

What is HV Term Structure?

HV Term Structure The shape of historical volatility plotted across different measurement windows (5-day through 1000-day). A normal upward-sloping structure means longer-window HV is higher. An inverted structure (short-term HV above long-term) indicates a recent spike in realized moves that hasn't been sustained historically.

Complete Definition

The shape of historical volatility plotted across different measurement windows (5-day through 1000-day). A normal upward-sloping structure means longer-window HV is higher. An inverted structure (short-term HV above long-term) indicates a recent spike in realized moves that hasn't been sustained historically.

Example

If 10-day HV is 40% but 252-day HV is only 25%, the term structure is inverted — the stock has been moving more than usual recently. This often mean-reverts.

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