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Forward Vol, Contango, Delta IV Rank & Curvature

Skew Intelligence

Forward vol, contango analysis, delta-level IV rank, historical skew patterns and smile curvature — the full skew picture across time and strike space.

8 min read Updated Pro tier5 TabsDelta IV RankCurvature Tracking

No account needed to look at it on AAPL. Live market data on every plan, and you can cancel any time.

The screen

What the module
actually shows.

A real capture, not a mockup. Click it to enlarge, then open the same screen live on AAPL.

Skew Intelligence, a module of the ApexVol Terminal.

ApexVol Terminal

Options analytics, live.

Chains, IV rank, expected move and dealer positioning for 5,500+ US stocks and ETFs.

Start 7-day free trial Open the Terminal

Free on AAPL, no account. Trial: no charge if you cancel before it ends.

On this page
  1. Every panel
  2. On the desk
  3. Ticker to decision
  4. When to reach for it
  5. Questions

What is Skew Intelligence?

Skew Intelligence Skew Intelligence decomposes the volatility smile into forward vol, contango/backwardation, delta-level IV rank, historical skew patterns and curvature evolution for advanced vol analysis.

ApexVol Terminal

Options analytics, live.

Chains, IV rank, expected move and dealer positioning for 5,500+ US stocks and ETFs.

  • Live chains and Greeks
  • IV rank and percentile
  • Expected move and GEX
  • Screener and strategy P&L
Start 7-day free trial Open the Terminal

Free on AAPL, no account. Trial: no charge if you cancel before it ends.

Inside the module

Every panel,
and its job.

What the screen opens with, part by part.

Forward Vol & Contango

Future vol expectations from the term curve

Skew Analysis

Put vs call IV by delta and term

Delta IV Rank Heatmap

Time x delta grid showing strike-level richness

Curvature Tracking

Smile shape evolution: symmetric, skewed, kinked

Why it matters

What this buys you
on the desk.

How traders read Skew Intelligence when they are looking for an edge worth taking.

See Which Strikes Are Richest Over Time

The Delta IV Rank heatmap shows a time x delta grid. If 25-delta puts have been at the 90th percentile for 3 weeks while ATM is at the 50th, institutions are hoarding tail protection.

Track Curvature Changes

Smile curvature (wings vs ATM) evolves with market regimes. Increasing curvature signals growing tail demand — the market is buying protection. Decreasing curvature signals complacency.

Project Forward Vol

Forward vol derived from the term curve shows what the market expects vol to be in coming months. Compare against HV forecasts to find edge in calendar-type trades.

Detect Institutional Positioning Shifts

Changes in skew steepness, curvature and delta IV rank often precede large moves. Institutions adjust their hedge books before events — skew intelligence reveals these shifts.

How it works

From a ticker
to a decision.

The order the screen expects you to work in.

  1. Select ticker

    Enter any US stock or ETF

  2. Review data

    Analyse the key metrics and charts

  3. Identify signal

    Find the actionable insight

  4. Execute

    Use the signal to inform your trade

Use cases

When you would
reach for it.

Skew Trading
When put skew is at the 95th percentile, sell put spreads to monetise elevated protection demand.
Risk Reversal Timing
Track call vs put skew over time. When the skew flips (calls richer than puts), it signals bullish institutional positioning — lean into it or fade it.
Regime Awareness
Rising curvature + steep skew = institutions adding protection. Falling curvature + flat skew = complacency. Adjust your hedging accordingly.

Questions

What people ask
about this screen.

What is the Delta IV Rank?

IV Rank calculated at each delta level (10D, 25D, ATM, 75D, 90D) over time. It reveals which parts of the smile are historically rich or cheap — a level of granularity unavailable in standard IV rank.

What is smile curvature?

Curvature measures how much the wings (OTM puts and calls) are elevated relative to ATM IV. Calculated as (25D Put IV + 25D Call IV) - 2 x ATM IV. Higher curvature means more wing demand.

You have read the screen.
Now run it.

Skew Intelligence is one pane of the Terminal, and it opens on AAPL without an account. Every plan points the same module at the other 5,500 tickers.

Real market data, not a sandbox. Open Skew Intelligence on AAPL.