1. API
  2. Earnings and expected move
  3. Expected vs actual

Earnings and expected move API, GET /expected-vs-actual/{ticker}

Is the move priced into NVDA bigger or smaller than the stock usually makes?

The straddle-implied move against the historical average over the same horizon. Returns the expected move to the nearest expiration, the historical average move over the same number of days, the difference and a fair-priced assessment.

ProPlan and above, from $55/mo
1MCP tool that calls it
2026-09-08Sample captured from the live endpoint

The answer, in one call

Units first,
then the request.

Moves in percent; straddle_price in dollars.

Historical average is the mean absolute move over days_to_expiration trading days.

curlBearer token from Account, then API Access
curl -H "Authorization: Bearer avmcp_YOUR_TOKEN" \
     "https://apexvol.com/api/mcp/data/expected-vs-actual/NVDA"
Pythonrequests, nothing else
import requests

headers = {"Authorization": "Bearer avmcp_YOUR_TOKEN"}
r = requests.get("https://apexvol.com/api/mcp/data/expected-vs-actual/NVDA", headers=headers)
r.raise_for_status()
data = r.json()["data"]
print(data["expected_move_pct"])
In Claude, Cursor or ChatGPTthrough the MCP server, no code
You

Is the move priced into NVDA bigger than it usually makes?

The assistant calls get_earnings_move_analysis and answers from the JSON below.

Tokens come with every paid or trial plan. Sign in and create one under Account, then API Access, or start a trial. Your ticker, your budget.

GET /api/mcp/data/expected-vs-actual/NVDA200, application/json, captured 2026-09-08
{
  "success": true,
  "data": {
    "assessment": "FAIRLY_PRICED",
    "days_to_expiration": 8,
    "difference_pct": 1.9203,
    "expected_move_pct": 4.5484,
    "expiration": "2026-09-16",
    "historical_avg_move_pct": 4.4627,
    "straddle_price": 10.475,
    "success": true,
    "ticker": "NVDA",
    "timestamp": "2026-09-08T08:07:31.458555"
  }
}

Every response is wrapped as {"success": true, "data": {...}}. Lists in the sample are cut to a few rows so it fits on a page; the shape is exactly what your code receives.

Parameters

Bounded,
and the bounds are stated.

Out-of-range numbers are clamped to the documented range, never silently changed to something else. A missing required field returns 400 with the reason.

NameInDefaultRangeMeaning
ticker requiredpathany covered symbolThe underlying, upper case. Use /search to check coverage.

Field by field

What each
number means.

expected_move_pct, historical_avg_move_pct, difference_pct
The comparison.
assessment
OVERPRICED, UNDERPRICED or FAIRLY_PRICED.
expiration, days_to_expiration, straddle_price
Context.

Access, limits, errors

Before the
first call.

Plan
Pro Pro and above. Tokens are issued to paid and trial accounts from $55 a month; each endpoint follows the tier of its web feature. An endpoint above your plan answers 402 and names the plan it needs.
Auth
Bearer token, prefix avmcp_, created under Account, then API Access. Shown once, hashed at rest, rotates in one click. Always call https://apexvol.com, never www.
Limits
60 requests a minute and 1,000 an hour per token, plus a monthly allowance by plan. Every response carries the remaining counts in X-RateLimit-* headers; a 429 carries Retry-After in seconds.
Errors
401 no or revoked token; 429 Retry-After seconds; 403 Pro plan required; 424 data feed unavailable, retry. The full list with payload shapes is on the errors page.
Since
API 1.0. Units, bases and timestamps follow the conventions shared by every endpoint; changes are logged in the API changelog.
Machine-readable
This page as Markdown, the family as one file, the whole API as llms-full.txt or OpenAPI 3.1.

The same data, in plain English

Ask for it
in an MCP client.

Connect the ApexVol MCP server and the assistant calls get_earnings_move_analysis by name. One URL, a sign-in, no token to paste.

Prompts that hit this endpointcopy one into Claude, Cursor or ChatGPT
You

Is the move priced into NVDA bigger than it usually makes?

You

Are AAPL options overpricing the next two weeks?

You

Compare expected to actual moves for SPY.

More in the prompt library. Set the server up in Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor, ChatGPT, VS Code, Windsurf or Gemini CLI.

Included with
every paid plan.

From $55 a month, tier-matched: your token queries the data your plan includes and Pro unlocks the full surface.

Real market data, not a sandbox. See it live on AAPL.

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